How the pre-election polls compare with the count, and how party support has moved since the last municipal election.
| Party | Poll | Margin | Result | Result minus poll | Against the margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DA | 31.3% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a | |
| ANC | 28.1% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a | |
| EFF | 12.5% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a | |
| ActionSA | 11.5% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a | |
| MK | 5.2% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a | |
| FF+ | 3.1% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a | |
| IFP | 2.1% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a | |
| PA | 1.0% | ±5.89 | n/a | n/a |
Poll shares leave out don’t-know answers and are rescaled to 100%. The margin is Ipsos’s maximum for one estimate, not a test of the gap. A result inside the range does not prove the poll was right, and one outside it does not prove it was wrong. See how we judge accuracy.
Poll: Ipsos Wave 2, fieldwork 12 September to 13 October 2026, published 30 October 2026. Ipsos release