ElectionsXAwaiting results

ELECTIONSX / INSIGHTS

Behind
the numbers.

The election results are the starting point. Evidence, uncertainty and local context help explain what they mean.

2026 MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS ELECTIONSXINDEPENDENT ANALYSIS / NO UNSOURCED CLAIMS

FEATURED RESEARCH

Read beyond the headline.

Original analyses built around what can be verified, with methods and limitations visible to every reader.

ELECTIONSX / 2026
01 / THE POLLING EXPERIMENT

Can polling really
predict an election?

Study what a pre-election poll measures, rerun the sampling experiment, and compare the surveys with results only where the basis is compatible.

Read the study

MORE FROM ELECTIONSX

Explore the evidence.

02 / HISTORICAL COMPARISON

What moved since 2021?

Explore verified changes in party-list shares on compatible boundaries.

Explore the swings ↗03 / COUNCIL MATHEMATICS

How much is a majority?

Try combinations of official council seat totals without predicting alliances.

Open the laboratory ↗04 / EVIDENCE & TRUST

Show your working.

How results are sourced, checked, corrected and published.

See our standards ↗